ACUS11 KWNS 262152
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262151
OKZ000-TXZ000-270045-

Mesoscale Discussion 2328
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Areas affected...Western OK into northwest/west-central TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 262151Z - 270045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/severe gusts and hail are possible into
this evening.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered storm development is underway from
western OK into northwest TX, within a warm, moderately unstable,
and weakly capped environment. Additional storm development will be
possible within this corridor into early evening, in the vicinity of
a surface trough. Deep-layer shear is generally weak to modest,
which should tend to limit storm organization. However, seasonably
deep mixing and steep low-level lapse rates will support a threat
for strong to localized severe gusts in the vicinity of the
strongest storms into this evening. Also, while midlevel lapse rates
are generally rather weak, isolated hail cannot be ruled out with
the strongest storms.

..Dean/Hart.. 09/26/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6MmeXD7yNknQ6F9mhGzpJySkIKdvOtBkefLoMqMFUWp2ERBulCwLM99F_nnlemQ3ZIt2923yOK6IXncWdOdHZZ5qBeI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON 32480222 35010005 36869878 36889852 36899800 36509763
34219784 32969847 32089981 31840070 31920131 32120195
32480222

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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