ACUS11 KWNS 292015
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292014
IDZ000-MTZ000-UTZ000-NVZ000-292115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1798
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0314 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Areas affected...portions of southeastern Idaho and northern Utah

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 292014Z - 292115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe wind gusts possible with
thunderstorm activity this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorm activity is expected to
develop this afternoon across portions of northern Utah into
southern Idaho. Daytime heating has yielded temperatures in the
upper 80s to 90s F and large dew point depressions, with dew points
in the upper 40s to low 50s F. Steep lapse rates and sufficient
MLCAPE around 500 J/kg amid deep layer shear around 30-40 kts may
support isolated more organized cells with potential for strong to
severe gusts. Overall, the coverage of organized storm potential is
expected to remain low and a watch is unlikely to be needed.

..Thornton/Hart.. 07/29/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-na3FmMJHJ4ZV0Xf3SKdwxHD382XFvKde2TN77rkLteHFb-6hsvwvsHC08gRav0Qxa_0H6E-YyBhO20cUWmTzQqGgR4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...SLC...PIH...MSO...BOI...LKN...

LAT...LON 41811467 43411446 44641363 44961285 45131202 45111176
44471115 43501110 42111152 41491216 41261333 41311374
41511419 41811467

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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